The researchWhat the research says about training periodization
Several meta-analyses compare periodized with non-periodized strength training. Rhea and Alderman (2004) report an overall effect of ES 0.84 in favor of periodized programs and put the effect specific to training variation at ES 0.25. Williams et al. (2017) found ES 0.43 for maximal strength (1RM, the load for a single repetition) in favor of periodized training, with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 0.27 to 0.58.
The CI shows how precisely a value is estimated: if it lies entirely above 0, the advantage is considered statistically solid. In Williams et al., undulating programs did better, and the effect was larger in untrained individuals. Across 35 volume-equated studies, Moesgaard et al. (2022) found ES 0.31 (CI 0.04–0.57) for maximal strength: a small advantage whose CI reaches almost down to 0. There was no difference for muscle growth (ES 0.13).
Afonso et al. (2019) urge caution: none of the 21 studies in two meta-analyses compared periodization with training that was varied but not periodized. For endurance, Mølmen et al. (2019) found slightly better values for block periodization in VO₂max (maximal oxygen uptake) and Wmax (maximal power), but in small, low-quality studies (PEDro scale, 3.7 out of 10 on average).
| Study | Comparison | Result |
|---|
| Rhea & Alderman 2004 | periodized vs. non-periodized, strength and power | overall effect ES 0.84; effect of variation ES 0.25 |
| Williams et al. 2017 | periodized vs. non-periodized, 18 studies | maximal strength (1RM): ES 0.43, 95% CI 0.27–0.58 |
| Moesgaard et al. 2022 | periodized vs. non-periodized, 35 volume-equated studies | maximal strength: ES 0.31, CI 0.04–0.57; muscle growth: no difference (ES 0.13) |
| Afonso et al. 2019 | review of meta-analyses | no comparison with varied but non-periodized training |
| Mølmen et al. 2019 | block vs. traditional, endurance | VO₂max: SMD 0.40, 95% CI 0.02–0.79; Wmax: 0.28, CI 0.01–0.54; small, low-quality studies |
ES and SMD: standardized effect sizes, 0 means no difference. CI: confidence interval.
Kiely (2012) offers a more fundamental critique: periodization models share a deeply rooted cultural heritage, along with assumptions that can no longer be justified scientifically. He calls for training systems that respond sensitively to the athlete, while explicitly not rejecting periodization altogether. Kiely (2018) adds that periodization rests on Selye's stress research; since stress science has moved on, a reassessment is needed.
Others take the opposing view: Cunanan et al. (2018), whose title calls the general adaptation syndrome a foundation for the concept of periodization, and Stone et al. (2021), with a review of periodization and block periodization that, according to its title, focuses on strength-power training.
The bottom line: on average, periodized strength training produces slightly more maximal strength than non-periodized training, even at equal volume (Moesgaard et al., 2022). The studies do not clearly show which model is best. What is clear: planned variation and adjusting to the athlete's response matter (Harries et al., 2015; Kiely, 2012).